PRC Statistics
From
"brian turner" <bkt90@hotmail.com>
Date
Fri, 08 Oct 2004 02:13:26 +0000
What is the general perception about the reliability of GDP growth figures?
Some commentators seem to think they are undervalued, at least one
overvalued, and most seem to accept the official stats at face value. There
are two questions related to this: (1) is there any conscious fraud in the
figures (2) is the informal market so big they really can't count it
accurately.
In Vietnam, the petty capitalist informal off-the-books part of Hanoi's
economy is so huge, frankly I don't see how any aggregate statistics could
be anything but guesses.
What about the Gini coefficient? (Measurement of inequality from 0 -1).
The official figures are 0.4, but I read a Chinese critic who said that he
thinks it might reach sky high Brazil levels (over 0.6) if hidden illicit
wealth stashed away in secret bank accounts is included.
What about rural poverty stats? Carl Riskin and others discredited some
earlier stats, but what are the official stats showing regarding that now,
and any comments by others on those?
What about unemployment?
Life expectancy and other health indicator trends in the last 4 years?
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